I have been nosing around with BUFKIT and have had the chance to look over some forecast data. Still too soon to nail this down as far as an official forecast, but here's what I am seeing:
- Tuesday morning a wintry mix is possible. Based on forecast model data, my money says that a window from 8 AM until about noon should fit the bill. Sleet, freezing rain or freezing drizzle. We would switch over to snow during the early afternoon, and a headache ensues for the Tuesday evening commute.
- Forecast modeling now suggests that we'll take a direct hit from the low coming out of the Plains, and the low will linger over the area for awhile.
- Snow stays in the area from Tuesday PM through Wednesday PM.
- Forecast snowfall is from 5 to 8.5" in the models I have looked at.
I am concerned about the thermodynamics of the whole situation. With data suggesting this will be a heavy wet snow event, it won't take much to tip the scales over to all rain and slash snowfall totals.
Have a great night!
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