Sun Before The Storm

Hello Again!

Sunshine greets us in the area this morning, something we have not seen for a few days.  A refreshing change it is.  Bright blue skies with just a few high clouds here in Jackson, and we will keep those around for awhile today and into the early evening, as clouds start rolling in ahead of our next storm system.  Let's pop the hood and see what's running in there:

TEMPERATURES:  We finally start to see some slight moderation in our cold pattern.  Average temperature in the area should be right around 39 degrees, and we'll be right in that ballpark for all but one, maybe two of the next seven days.  With the exception of some weekend  chilly air, we'll stay in the 35-39 degree range.  I am hopeful that some warming will start to make itself evident, as meteorological Spring is only four days away, and March 10th is the start of Daylight Savings Time.  I can't wait!

TUESDAY STORM:  The inevitable arguing amongst our computer model suites have begun.  Two of the models that I look at, the Global Forecast System (GFS) and the North American Mesoscale Model (NAM) are showing me that we will get some snow, but the amount and duration varies.  In most cases, this is typical.  The GFS takes the low pressure center more southeast of us, more into Lenawee and Monroe counties, and the NAM is suggesting that we get a direct hit right through the heart of the blog.  The low's track will make the difference in how much snow accumulates.  At first blush, I am thinking 3-5" through Wednesday night, with another inch or so through Thursday.  Some areas will see closer to 6-7" though, but firming that up will have to come this evening as fresh data comes out and we see what the atmosphere is doing in reality at that point of the day.

Now we have the two big things out of the way, so it's time for a forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Concord and Tompkins:


Today, mostly sunny through the afternoon, then clouds slowly re-develop, a bit milder with a high of 39.  Wind NE 4-8 MPH.

Tonight, mostly cloudy skies after 11 PM, flurries possible, lows near 22, wind NE 6-12 MPH.

Tuesday, cloudy skies, a wintry mix is possible from mid-morning on, changing to snow by evening, 2-3" possible before midnight.  Not as cold, high 37. Wind NE 7-14 MPH.

Tuesday night, cloudy, snow continues and slowly starts tapering off later, lows near 22. Winds NE 7-14 MPH.

Wednesday, continued daytime cloudiness, another 2-3" of new snow possible by nightfall, high 38.

Thursday, clouds stay around, some lingering snow may fall, another 1-2" possible depending on your area, high 37.

Friday, some breaks appear in the clouds, not as mild, high 30.

Saturday, clearing skies, colder, high 30.

There's a look at your forecast, we'll keep tabs on the storm situation and update here accordingly.  Urgent updates will also be posted on Facebook and Twitter.  Have a great day!  Blessings.