Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Snow Showers And Such...

Good Evening!

We had a fairly nice day around the area, especially south, with temperatures up near or even past the 40 degree mark.  All of that starts to change as we work through the day tomorrow.  Let's take a deeper dive and see what we have:

SUMMARY:  One more day of milder than normal temperatures for us tomorrow as the day gets rolling and we get to a high around 41 in the south zone, and 38 in the north zone.  I think we will see a sprinkling of low 40's in a few places north, even if only briefly.  Clouds roll in and wind picks up ahead of a low that should track across the the upper part of the state.  After we get that system out of here, the fridge door opens from Canada and we get some of that Canadian air in here to drop temperatures back to sub-freezing levels for awhile.  Average temperature in this part of the world is around 35 degrees, and we stay below that through next week.  We begin to warm back up early next week, but there's something in the works to potentially coincide with that warm up...

PRECIPITATION:  Not a whole lot to talk about right now, but that will change, especially north.  As low pressure moves in tonight, we see a chance at some light snow or snow showers, especially in the north zone of the blog.  That precipitation could be here as early as morning drive, but for my money, I think we see that after work and school are underway, in a window from perhaps 9 AM to 2 PM tomorrow.  This isn't a washout or heavy snow event, but just bear it in mind.  I would also keep an eye out for some freezing rain right now.  That leaves by tomorrow night, and then we stay fairly quiet until next week.  Let's take a look at the National Weather Service forecast for the next five days:

National Weather Service 5 Day Precipitation Forecast
We note a couple of six-tenths of an inch of liquid bullseyes along the lake shore, so we'll need to see how strong our northwest winds are to determine if that suggested lake-effect snow will come a ways inland.  That is connected with a system that is forecast to move in on Monday evening into Tuesday.  I'll have to keep an eye on this system, as a couple of possibilities are on the table.  One is two low pressure centers, one just into Canada, another in the ArkLaTex, and they kind of do their own thing, we get "sandwiched" a bit and pick up some precipitation.  The other scenario is the same two lows in roughly the same places, but the southerly low turns a bit more northeast, then they phase up very near us, creating a much more intense storm.

Here's a look at the radar composite, and that shows you what's headed this way for tomorrow...


Now let's have a look at the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Concord and Grass Lake:

Tonight, increasing clouds, perhaps a stray flurry late, low 27, winds SW 5-15 MPH.

Thursday, cloudy skies, snow showers or a wintry mix developing, high 41, winds SW 7-13 MPH.

Thursday night, cloudy skies, precipitation tapers off, colder, lows near 22, winds turning NW 5-10 MPH.

Friday, overcast and gray, colder, high 29, wind NW 6-12 MPH.

Friday night, clouds stay with us, colder still, lows, near 14, wind chills in the single digits are possible with winds NW 5-10 MPH.

Saturday, mostly cloudy, chilly, high 24.

Sunday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, continued chilly with a high of 26.

Monday, a few peeks of sunshine, then clouds increasing, milder high 36.

Tuesday, snowshowers, cloudy, high 36.

Wednesday, some clearing skies, colder, high 29.

There's a look at your six day forecast, I hope you have a great night!

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