Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Some Clouds, Some Warming...

Good Afternoon!

Plenty of sunshine in South Central Michigan at this hour, we'll see some clouds and a few changes though.  Time to dive right in and see what we have going on for you:

SUMMARY:  A touch of an upper disturbance in the area just off to the northwest of us at this hour, it's currently bringing a bit of light snow to the northwest quadrant of the Lower Peninsula.  Not much in this area to mention.
Low to mid 30's the rule of thumb in the area.  A warm-up in on the way, culminating in a high near 41 on Friday, then the door opens, and we see bitterly cold Canadian air filter in, putting us back in the freezer and daytime high temperatures top out below 20.

PRECIPITATION:  Things are looking pretty quiet between now and Sunday, when the temperatures plummet back into the truly winter levels.  Perhaps just the chance of a few flurries or some freezing precipitation Saturday evening into Sunday as the cold air filters in.  Let's take a look at the five day precipitation outlook from the National Weather Service:

5 Day Precipitation Totals, Valid thru 8 AM Monday Jan 21st
As you can see, perhaps a small chance each day of a few snowflakes around the area.  What we have with this setup is a shallow trough aloft and the jet stream is sitting pretty much over us.  There are a few disturbances embedded in that flow, so as a result, we get a shot at some snow.  One looks like it will get into the area Friday evening and into the wee hours of Saturday, but that one should stay north of us here.  A second little wave comes through about the same time Saturday night, forecast modeling is suggesting that some lake-effect snow could fall, and it may just barely brush us with a dusting or a light coating.  Let's look at the forecast for you:


I will be working on an update and six day forecast for you.  I hope that you have a great day!

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