Thursday, December 6, 2012

Chilly And Damp At Times...

Hello Again!

Seasonable conditions prevail in the area today, with a mix of clouds and sunshine.  A touch of warming is coming this way, you can see it in the surface temperature map here, with the above freezing readings stretching WAY north and edging this way:
National Surface Temperatures
Let's pop the hood and see what's running in there:

SUMMARY:  A Canadian Import in the form of a high pressure is sliding off to the east, with seasonably cool days and chilly nights.  As it moves, that opens the door for some changes in our part of the world.  We'll see temperatures climb just a touch with temperatures in the 40's and southeast winds the next few days.  In the meantime, some clouds roll in later today and precipitation chances go up a bit.  Nighttime lows will dip into the 20's.  Don't complain about the highs, because we have been spoiled all this time - normal highs this time of year should be right around 35 degrees.  Starting Monday, daytime highs trend down some to near normal levels, into the upper 30's with clouds, and we stay in that regime through late next week.

PRECIPITATION:  We stay dry today and into this evening.  For Friday, we should see some hit or miss showers early in the morning and stretching through the morning commute  I don't foresee these being much of a headache, as they should be light with some good spacing between them.  After that, we keep the clouds around, I don't think we get much rain though.  Really we'll have a shot at some activity from early Friday morning right on through the weekend and into Monday.  Within that window, forecast models are suggesting scattered to numerous showers through early Saturday afternoon, then we shift to a more hit and miss deal through early next week.  Let's take a look at the 5 Day Precipitation Outlook:

National Weather Service 5-Day Precipitation Forecast
Not a whole lot of precipitation for us in this forecast, and that looks about right from what I can see of the data this morning.  We'll come in at a half inch tops according to this map, I think we stay closer to a quarter-inch.  As a footnote, another weather shift of sorts occurs as well, starting as early as Sunday night.  We mix up the precipitation mode a bit, from rain, to a mixed bag including some freezing precipitation, or even a bit of snow.

A fairly consistent mid-level cloud deck greets us this morning, with some chilly temperatures in the area at this hour:

And here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Napoleon and Leoni Township:


Today, some sunshine increasing clouds as the day progresses, a bit warmer than normal, high 44, winds SE 6-12 MPH.

Tonight, cloudy skies, some widely scattered showers develop late, lows near 34, winds turn SW 4-8 MPH.

Friday, cloudy skies, expect some widely scattered morning showers, these should taper off later in the day and leave the clouds around, high 46.  Wind NE 4-8 MPH.

Friday night, still cloudy, seasonably chilly, we can't rule out some redeveloping scattered showers, low 35.  Winds NE 4-8 MPH.

Saturday, mostly cloudy with the chance of a few stray showers, high 44.

Sunday, more clouds than sun, still the chance at some widely spaced showers, highs near 45.

Monday, cloudy skies, just the mention of a isolated shower or flurry, high only 36.

Tuesday, periods of clouds and sunshine, colder, high 34.

Wednesday, continued partly sunny, high 36.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great Thursday!  Blessings.

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