Tuesday, December 11, 2012

A Dusting, Then Quiet...

Hello Again!

If you were hoping that we would somehow not have snow and miss a White Christmas, well...the no snow bit is out the window.  Still far too early to predict a White Christmas with any accuracy.  We picked up about a tenth of an inch this morning here in Jackson as some lake effect snow managed to hold shape long enough to dust us.  Right now the sun has broken through and offered himself for view.  Still plenty chilly here and in a good part of the US, here's the surface temperature plot for your viewing pleasure:


Now, let's take a look and see what we have running under the hood here...

SUMMARY:  Fairly calm in the area today, but some lake-effect snow that has been going on since last night continues off to the west.  Berrien County was under advisory for 2-4" of snow into this morning, all due to lake effect.  A couple of upper disturbances are nearby, one of which is touching off some snow in far western Wisconsin at this hour.  I don't see that impacting south central Michigan.  More good news in that the lake effect snow should soon be tapering off and leaving just a mix of clouds and sunshine for today, helping us melt most of this snow that we picked up this morning.  The quick look forecast said cloudy with flurries tonight; I am leaving it as is for the moment, though improvement looks possible, into a deal where we'll see some breaks for stars in the sky after dark.  Looking ahead, we see clearing and temperatures working up to 40 degrees plus over the next few days, with high pressure locking into the area and bringing us fair skies.

PRECIPITATION:  Not much to talk about regarding precipitation for the rest of the workweek.  As I mentioned above, Canadian high pressure is settling in over the area, though thankfully, not the bitterly cold variety that has kept our friends out in the Plains and Rockies in the freezer.  As a result, not much to kick off any rain or snow events.  If we do get any snow, it will be from a passing upper wave, and I would daresay that would show as some lake effect that holds together long enough to make it well inland.  Unlikely though it is, anything we get here from that kind of a deal should stay at an inch or less.  Here's what the National Weather Service thinks regarding precipitation totals the next five days:

5 Day Precipitation Forecast
WEEKEND RAIN?:  Looking into the weekend, one of our friendly computer models, the Global Forecast System (GFS), is suggesting to me that a surface low will be making tracks for our part of the world late this week.  The low generates some scattered showers around lunchtime Saturday, these becoming more numerous as the afternoon wears on.  We keep all of that around Saturday night and into Sunday, then start tapering it off early Sunday afternoon.  It should be mostly gone in time for the drive to work on Monday morning.  Temperatures will fall off from Saturday a bit, so as this stuff leaves on Sunday if the GFS has it right, a snow shower or two isn't out of the question.

Right now we don't have much going on, the snow is lifting northeast and out of here.  Just a little bit of snow lingering in Eaton, Ingham, and Clinton counties in the north zone of the blog:

Grand Rapids NEXRAD Radar, in precipitation type mode
Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Grass Lake and Sandstone Township:

Today, periods of clouds with a few peeks of sun, some flurries or even light snow are possible, high 34.  Wind SW 3-6 MPH.

Tonight, a few lingering flurries with some late clearing, lows near 23, SW winds 5-10 MPH will put wind chills into the teens.

Wednesday, partly sunny, a bit warmer, high 40.  Wind SSW 5-10 MPH.

Wednesday night, mostly starry skies, seasonably chilly, lows near 24, winds SW 7-14 MPH.

Thursday, sunshine early, may just a few clouds develop in the afternoon, milder, highs warm back up to 42.

Friday, mainly sunny,  some clouds start to roll in during the evening, continued mild, high 41.

Saturday, increasingly cloudy skies, scattered lunchtime showers become more numerous as the afternoon progresses, high 40.

Sunday, cooler temperatures under cloudy skies may create a rain/snow mix as precipitation tapers off after lunch.  High 38.

Monday, cloudy skies to start the work week, a few scattered rain or snow showers can't be ruled out, cooler, high only 36.

There's a look at you six day forecast, I do hope that you have a great Tuesday!  Blessings.

No comments:

Post a Comment