Monday, November 5, 2012

Clear & Chilly Now, Warming On The Way!

Good Morning!

Clear skies and chilly conditions on tap for the area for the next several days.  We'll see temperatures during the days in the mid 40's with sub-freezing lows.  Some frost will be possible the next few nights and you'll need to scrape the car windows in the mornings.  Changes are in the works for late in the week, let's pop the hood and see what we have running in there.

SUMMARY:  An upper air ridge-trough pattern will persist over the nation for the next several days, and we'll be in the trough.  As a result, our flow is west and northwesterly, reinforcing the cool Canadian high we have over us right now.  Don't expect that pattern to change until late in the week, when everything flattens out some, and we even get a bit of ridging in the area to moderate temperatures a bit.  Readings will rise to around the mid 40's through the middle of the week, then we break into the 50's and perhaps even a 60 late this week.  We'll see some scattered clouds here and there, but primarily clear and cold.

PRECIPITATION:  As far as precipitation, not a whole lot of that in the mix for the next several days in this part of the world.  Tuesday, we get some clouds back, and we might see a mix of rain and snow in the evening, but that's about all.  As the temperatures start moving upward, the S word leaves the forecast for awhile.  Here's a look at the five day precipitation forecast from the National Weather Service:

5 Day Precipitation Forecast
Not much to see here in Michigan, a quarter inch tops through 7AM Saturday, and that looks about right.  Wednesday and maybe Friday look like the best chances to pick up a little rain.  One place they won't be able to escape snow is in New England, as forecast models indicate a low that will have completed sliding down the back slope of an eastward tracking trough slipping offshore over Georgia, then turning north, following a fairly similar track to Hurricane Sandy, except a lot closer inland.  That low hugs the East Coast until it gets up near New York and New Jersey, where it runs into high pressure centered off Nova Scotia.  That will turn the low northeast, back into the same areas that Sandy hit, and by then, that low will be a full blown Nor'Easter with rain and wind, plus wet snow in higher elevations.

SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing in this part of the world for the next three days, and it looks like the only places that will have to address severe weather will be the areas affected by Sandy as the surface low does it's thing and morphs into a Nor'Easter, and southeast Texas and southern Louisiana, with a risk of strong hail-producing blowhard thunderstorms.

Clear skies in the area right now, but chilly....


And here's your forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Rives Junction and Parma:

For today, mostly sunny skies with a few passing clouds in the afternoon, high 41, winds NW 5-8 MPH.

Tonight, mainly starry skies, again a few clouds may float by, expect some frost with chilly conditions, and nighttime lows all the way down to 23, winds ESE 3-8 MPH.  Low-lying areas may see more substantial frost and temperatures down around 17 degrees.

Tuesday, mainly clear, a touch warmer with daytime highs near 44, SW winds 4-8 MPH.

Tuesday night, clear early then clouds start to increase, not quite as cold with nighttime lows around freezing. Winds ESE 3-7 MPH.

Wednesday, becoming cloudy, warmer still, a slight chance of a lone shower, high 46.

Thursday, sunny and seasonably pleasant, high 49.

Friday, partly sunny and warmer still, high 54.

Saturday, plenty of mixed sunshine with some scattered clouds, unseasonably warm, high 57.

Sunday, partly cloudy skies, warmer still, a chance of a stray shower later in the day, high 59.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great day!  Blessings.

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