Monday, September 10, 2012

Fabulous Fall Weather, A Dash of Summer Thrown In...

Good Morning!

Shades of fall have been in the air the last few days, and we'll continue that trend for another day or so, then a bit of Indian Summer makes it way into the area, as warm temperatures take hold again and start a farewell tour of sorts, while we work deeper into meteorological fall.  Let's pop the hood and see what we have going on!

TEMPERATURES:  These will stay in the cooler fall regime for another day or so with a ridge/trough upper air setup across the nation.  Several areas got some good soaking rain over the weekend courtesy of a  surface low and cold front that moved across the area starting Friday evening.  Temperatures cooled noticeably after that.  The pattern will soon shift again though as that ridge gets a little gumption and kicks the cooler air back across the border into Canada, with warm air building in here, the upper pattern flips into a trough/ridge setup, and we'll be under the warm ridge.  Temperatures should get back into the 80's midweek, and stay there until Friday, when we drop back into more seasonable 70's, along with a chance at some rain (more on that below).


RAIN:  We have a decent shot at some rain toward the tail end of the week, we're looking at about a 30-45% chance of rain in the area at any given point, that opportunity window stretches from after the morning drive into work on Friday, all the way into Saturday morning.  After that, we'll be working back into the clear, cooler fall conditions.  Here's what the National Weather Service thinks about our rain chances for the next five days...
5 Day Precipitation Forecast
As you can see, about a half-inch tops in most of the blog area, some places may see closer to an inch.


SEVERE WEATHER:  The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a very quiet period for us for the next few days.  No severe weather risk anywhere in the United States, and limited thunderstorm risk for the next three days.

Grand Rapids NEXRAD is sleeping, and there's nothing but clarity on the visible satellite image:

Visible Satellite Image
Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Spring Arbor and Michigan Center:

Today, sunny, seasonably mild, pleasant, high 74, winds WSW 3-6 MPH.

Tonight, clear and cool, a few low lying spots may pick develop some fog late, lows roll back to 47, winds SW 3-5 MPH.

Patriot Day, sunny, warmer, high 80, winds SW 5-10 MPH.

Tomorrow night, mostly starry skies, not as cool as previous nights, lows near 52, winds SW 3-7 MPH.  Again. some low-lying areas could have fog by daybreak Wednesday.

Wednesday, continued clear and warm, high 82, winds remain SW 5-10 MPH.

Thursday, clear skies to start then afternoon clouds develop, warm, the chance of a stray shower cannot be ruled out, high 83.

Friday, partly to mostly cloudy skies with the chance of a widely scattered or scattered shower here and there, cooler with a high of 74.

Saturday, early clouds give way to sunshine and cooler, more seasonable conditions, high of 73.

Sunday, plenty of sunshine and seasonable, high 73.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, plenty of sun is in it, get out and enjoy!  Have a great day!  Blessings.

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