Wednesday, September 12, 2012

A Reminder of Summer, Then Fall Returns....

Good Morning!

Indian Summer pays us a visit, with very warm temperatures for today into tomorrow, then the mercury tumbles back into seasonable and cool conditions in time for the weekend.  Time to take a deeper dive and see what's going on...

TEMPERATURES:  We will see temperatures climb into the 80's over the next day and a half.  We have high pressure and a 588 ridge dominating the upper air setup, and an unimpeded southwesterly wind flow bringing us conditions that are warm and summer-like.  That changes soon though, as a trough digs into central Indiana and Ohio in time for this weekend, turning winds northwesterly again, cooling things down, and bringing a chance at some light rain with it.  Looking into next week, we'll see temperatures drop into the 60's and a fall pattern setting up.

RAIN:  Rain chances start to creep up for Friday and the weekend, but nothing major and mot a washout by any stretch of the imagination.  Just a few scattered showers here and there for the weekend, Friday Night Football looks to be dry for most places in the area.  Here's a look at the National Weather Service forecast for rain the next five days:

5 Day Precipitation Forecast
As you can see, most areas come in at around a half-inch, and this looks pretty good.  I don't think the forecast models are very far off base with this look.  My advice for Friday is to toss an umbrella and jacket in the car just to be on the safe side if you're heading out Friday evening.  The middle of next shows a good chance at some rain, looking ahead.

SEVERE WEATHER:  You won't see any severe weather here or anywhere else in the United States for the next three days according to the Storm Prediction Center.  We are in the middle of a very benign setup, without much instability to kick off storms.  Just a general thunderstorm risk that doesn't even include the Midwest.

Grand Rapids NEXRAD is quiet, and it's a little tricky to see with the sun not all the way up to illuminate things for the satellite, but the visible satellite image shows some clouds that are part of the trough coming this way for the weekend.  A few showers will be under that feature periodically...

Visible Satellite Image
Here's the local forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Vandercook Lake:

For today, sunny skies, warm and summery, high 83, winds SW 6-12 MPH.

Tonight, mainly clear skies, perhaps a couple of passing clouds, not as cool as prior nights with lows rolling back to 56, winds SW 4-8 MPH.

Thursday, sunny to start, then clouds roll in as the day progresses, high 79, winds SSW 5-10 MPH.

Thursday night, periods of clouds and stars, an outside chance of a stray shower, low 54, winds NW 4-8 MPH.

Friday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, a widely scattered afternoon or evening shower is possible, cooler with a high of only 69.

Saturday, sunny skies and seasonably cool, high 72.

Sunday, continued clear and pleasant, high 74.

Monday, mixed sunshine, an isolated or widely scattered shower can't be ruled out, high 71.

Tuesday, mostly cloudy skies, periods of scattered showers possible, high 72.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a wonderful day!
Blessings!

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