Quietly Warming...

Good Morning!

I must apologize in advance for the full forecast never getting posted yesterday (long story, don't ask).  Some things needed to be addressed at home, and I had to focus on that.  At any rate, we had a beautiful weekend with mostly sunny days and temperatures in the middle 70's.  We will keep that trend going, then start to warm it up some, and add just a few more clouds to the mix.  Let's pop the hood...

TEMPERATURES:  Mild late-summer days continue here in Michigan, with a high amplitude ridge/trough setup over the US right now.  Strong southerly flow and heat under the ridge in the Rockies and the Sun Belt, cool, dry air coming in from Canada under the trough that has the Midwest firmly in it's grasp for now.  Daytime 70's and nighttime 50's for the next few days, but as we get closer to the weekend, the upper-air pattern changes and everything dampens out into a nearly straight west to east flow.  When that happens, more summer-like readings return, with daytime highs back into the low to mid 80's.

RAIN:  Things look fairly dry here in south central Michigan for the next five days.  That being said, I do have to place a low chance of rain in the forecast for today.  Any rain that does fall will be hit or miss, with plenty of space between showers.  Here's what the National Weather Service is thinking regarding rain for the next five days...

5 Day Precipitation Forecast

Most areas pick up little, if any rainfall through Friday, and that looks reasonable based on the data for the next several days.

SEVERE WEATHER:  According to the Storm Prediction Center, you won't see any up here in Michigan, just a risk of plain Jane thunderstorms today for the south zone of the blog.  For my money, we'll see just spotty showers, but if any storms do get going, they will form, rain on you,  make just a little noise and not have much lightning, then go away.

Radar is quiet, and the infrared satellite is clear...

Infrared Satellite Image

I nearly forgot to mention that with the still air last night, some patchy fog is out there, and it can be dense in some areas, so use caution.

Here's the forecast for Jackson County...

Today, mainly sunny skies with a few clouds, an isolated shower or stray storm can't be ruled out, high 76, winds NW 3-7 MPH.

Tonight, starry skies, fog possible late, perhaps just a passing cloud, low 46, wind N calm to 4 MPH.

Tuesday, mostly sunny, warmer, high 78, winds turn SW 2-5 MPH.

Tuesday night, a couple of clouds, not quite as cool, low 51, wind SW calm to 5 MPH.

Wednesday, more sunshine than clouds, pleasant, high 78.

Thursday, continued partly to mostly sunny, high 80.

Friday, mainly clear, perhaps a few clouds, warmer, high 82.

Saturday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, perhaps the chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm, high 83.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great Monday!  Blessings.