Tuesday, July 10, 2012

More Great Summer Weather...

Good Morning!


Another winner of a day is on tap for South Central Michigan, with sunshine aplenty and continued moderate temperatures.  Ridging out west, with the heat dome that tormented us, a trough east, and some showers and storms riding the downslope of the ridge.  Let's get in there and see what's cooking!


TEMPERATURES:  We will continue to enjoy temperatures that are seasonably warm right through the early part of next week.  Temperatures will run in the mid 80's a couple of places will push 90, but that's about it.  Relative humidity values will stay down too, making for comfortable conditions where you can get out and enjoy some of this weather without having to worry unduly about the heat getting you sick.  Nighttime temperatures will continue to fall into the upper 50's or low 60's, and even cooler in some cases.  A few spots last night got down to near 50 for their overnight lows.  Warmer conditions start to ease in midweek next week, but so far it doesn't look like we'll be thrust back into the oven.


RAIN:  I hope it's not wrong for me as a forecaster to hope for rain, because we need it desperately.  A few spots got a brief drink from some pop-up showers and a couple of roaming thunderstorms yesterday, but nothing widespread to really put a dent in the extreme dryness.  That pattern looks to hold for the next five days, as the National Weather Service (NWS) has a pretty dry five day forecast on tap for us.  That being said, shower and storm chances do increase on Friday, topping out with a little better than 50/50 shot at rain over the weekend.  Here's a look at that map for you...
5 Day Precipitation Forecast
The NWS is thinking a half inch of rain on the high side for the next five days in the far southeastern part of the area.  I don't really see that happening, unless you get some pop-up showers or storms and that happen to track over the same area.  I would go with three-tenths of an inch tops for most parts of the blog, then taper that off as you travel northwest.  Long story short, any rain we get we need and is of benefit to us, but don't expect a washout of the weekend or even widespread coverage at this point.


SEVERE WEATHER:  Not in this part of the world.  In fact, the Storm Prediction Center is showing a relatively quiet look across the US as a whole, with no "slight" risk categories anywhere on the maps at this hour.  A general risk of storms is in place for the Upper Peninsula today and tomorrow, and that's about all.  Here's a look at the forecast maps for Days 1 and 2, valid at 8AM each day.


SPC Day 1 Outlook

SPC Day 2 Outlook
Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar is sound asleep except for the ever-present ground clutter, and here's the visible satellite, showing all quiet here in the area...


Visible Satellite Image

Here's the forecast for Jackson County:


Today, sunny skies with maybe just a passing cloud or two, pleasant, high 85, easterly winds 4-10 MPH.

Tonight, mostly starry skies, a gorgeous night with a few passing clouds floating by, low of 56, winds E calm to 5 MPH.

Wednesday is Tuesday all over again, plenty of sun, seasonably warm, high 84.  Winds ESE calm to 6 MPH.


Wednesday night, another delight.  A clear, refreshing moonlit sky, lows roll back to 55, with ESE winds 3-8 MPH.

Thursday, still an abundance of sunshine, warmer, high of 87.

Friday starts sunny, then clouds increase as the day progresses, there's a chance of an afternoon or evening shower or storm, high of 84.

Saturday, cloudy skies, a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms, high 84.


Sunday, replay Saturday.  Cloudy skies, still the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms, high 84.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great Tuesday!  Blessings.

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