Monday, June 18, 2012

Updated Forecast For Jackson & Vicinity...

Good Afternoon!

Strong thunderstorms have moved through the area, cooling things off dramatically and dropping over a half inch of rain the last hour.  We'll take that rain.  No damage or flooding that I am aware of at this time.  Models are showing that we should get back into the middle or upper 80's today, along with a continued risk of severe weather north of us.  I don't think we get quite that warm, but the possibility of at least some severe weather should still be there with the afternoon heating destabilizing the atmosphere, though that looks marginal with lower available convective energy values (you need that to kick off strong storms.)

Dew points do remain in the low 60's throughout the area, so there will be moist air around for storms to nosh on and rebuild, we will have to wait and see what happens.  Across the lake in Wisconsin and a small part of the U.P., the Storm Prediction Center is saying there's an 80% chance of a weather watch being issued in the next hour.

For the rest of the day in Jackson, we see lingering clouds, a chance of more scattered showers and thunderstorms later today or into the early evening with a high of 82. While I cannot rule out another organized system, for my money, any storms we see will be more cellular in design.


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