Summer-like, Then Cooler...

Good Morning!


A beautiful day on tap for South Central Michigan today with sunny skies and seasonable temperatures, but then tomorrow,  scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms look to move in, and some of those could be elevated, which means they'll blow hard and possibly drop some small hail.  Let's take a look and see what we have.


TEMPERATURES: We'll see temperatures right around where they should be for the weekend, but then they take a bit of a nosedive on Monday, as the upper air pattern brings us a good shot of cool air from up in Canada.  Temperatures look to run about 10 degrees cooler for  Monday into Tuesday, with computer modeling suggesting daytime highs in the 70's for Monday and Tuesday.  After that, we get back into the summer-like middle 80's that are more the norm for this time of year.


RAIN:  The rain forecast looks like a twin-barreled event, with one shot early Sunday morning, then a better chance late Sunday afternoon or evening.  For my money, I'm inclined to hang my hat on the evening event as the better of the two.  I am forecasting isolated to widely scattered for the early chance, then for the afternoon and evening the coverage should be a little more widespread, so I will call it scattered.  After that, we stay pretty dry until the end of the month, when we have our next best chance at rain.


SEVERE WEATHER:  While the Storm Prediction Center doesn't have us with anything severe, for Sunday, they do introduce some low end 5% chances for rough weather, with the primary threat being elevated storms with strong straight-line winds and perhaps some small hail.  You can thank a cold front coming down the back side of the big ridge in the central part of the nation for that.  Out ahead of it in an air mass with temperatures in the 80's, some storms are expected to fire.  We'll have to see what kind of unstable they can get hold to, as that determines how strong they'll become.


Bright blue skies in Jackson right now with variable winds, here's the local forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Grass Lake and Parma:



Today, mainly sunny, maybe a couple of passing clouds, high 81, variable winds up to 6 MPH.


Tonight, partly cloudy skies, a bit milder than Friday night, lows roll back to 58, winds SW calm to 5 MPH.


Sunday, partly sunny skies, a chance of a widely scattered afternoon shower or pop-up thunderstorm, high 83.  Winds SW 7-14 MPH.


Sunday night, continued periods of clouds and stars, chance of a scattered shower or storm, lows down to 53, winds swing to the NE 5-10 MPH.


Monday, sunny, much cooler, pleasant, high 74.


Tuesday, mainly sunny, seasonable and nice, high 77.


Wednesday, a rewind and repeat of Tuesday.  Sunny and pleasant with a high of 78.


Thursday, periods of clouds and sunshine, warm, high 86.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great Saturday!  Blessings!