Tuesday, May 29, 2012

It Runs Hot Then Cold Here....

Good Morning!


Cooler weather is on the way.  After heat index values in the mid to upper 90's the last couple of days, and showers and storms that largely missed us but just clipped the northwest and southeast area of the blog, we get high temperatures that are a lot closer to normal today, and then run below normal for the rest of the week.  One deeper dive coming up...


TEMPERATURES:  A pretty steep drop in temperature is on the way...After seeing highs around the 90 mark, we roll back to the lower 80's today, then we don't see anything above 70 again until the end of the week.  It will be a cool start to meteorological summer!  A trough, then a cold front will move through the area, bringing air that is more reminiscent of a stable mid-spring pattern.  Low dew points and humidity values, highs in the 60's during the day and lows in the 40's at night.


RAIN:  Not much rain on tap for the next five days in the area, not at least until we get to Friday.  That will be our next good shot at getting some rain in this neck of the woods.  The National Weather Service is thinking that we will pick up around an inch the next five days.  Here's a look at that map, good through Saturday morning at 7AM.




We could use some rain too.  Average rain for May in Jackson is right at about 3 inches according to the NWS, and so far this month we've recorded just .60 inch of rain, so things are getting pretty dry.


SEVERE WEATHER:  As we are now on the back side of the trough, and there is the approaching cold front, with drier more stable air, the severe threat has moved on to the southeast of us.  Severe storms fired northwest of us last night, getting into the far northwest and southeast parts of the blog area, but that's it.  Nothing for Michigan outside a general chance of garden variety storms for Ann Arbor and points east.  After that, not much for the next few days.  I will show you the Day 1 and Day 2 maps from the Storm Prediction Center though...look at that "moderate" risk bullseye at the south end of Tornado Alley tomorrow!  These are valid at 7AM EDT as always...


 Day 1
Day 2

I'm sure the storm chasers will be licking their chops at that potential chance for action in Oklahoma and Kansas.


All quiet in West Michigan, so we'll take a look at some strong thunderstorms moving out of Lenawee County right now on the Detroit NEXRAD radar, they'll move pretty quick and be in Monroe County and over into Canada before too long.




And this is the visible satellite image:




You can see the clearing behind the cold front (northwest part of the Lower Peninsula where there are no clouds showing).


Here's a look at the forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Michigan Center and Hanover-Horton...


For today, a mix of clouds and sunshine, breezy, not as warm, a chance of an isolated or widely scattered shower until around dinnertime, high 80, winds turning NW 7-15 MPH.


Tonight, mostly clear skies, a few passing clouds, much cooler and drier, lows roll all the way back to 50, winds W 3-7 MPH.


Tomorrow, another mixed bag of clouds and sunshine, much cooler, high only 67, winds NW 7-14 MPH.


Wednesday night, mostly starry skies, perhaps a passing cloud or two, chilly, nighttime lows all the way down to 41, winds northerly 5-10 MPH.


Thursday, clear to start then clouds slowly start building in after lunchtime, continued cool with a high of 66.


Friday, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening, a touch warmer with a high of 71.


Saturday, cloudy skies, cooler, scattered showers and perhaps a roaming thunderstorm are likely, high only 66.


Sunday, mainly cloudy, perhaps a peek or two of sunshine, chance of a few scattered showers, warmer, high of 73.


There's your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great Tuesday!  Blessings.



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