Sunny, seasonable, splendid :-)

Good Hump Day Morning!

We got the rainfall out of here earlier than expected yesterday.  A busted forecast?  Depends on how you look at it.  It did cloud over and turn cooler yesterday evening, we just didn't get the re-firing of showers and storms again that was mentioned.  That upper wave passed through without much muss or fuss.  Down in the southern end of our country, Dallas and north Texas in general took a beating from severe storms with tornadoes yesterday afternoon and evening!  So far, no loss of life reported, thank God.  Let's hope it stays that way!

It has cleared off nicely in Michigan, no clouds anywhere in the state really at this hour, here's a look at the visible satellite picture:

A closer look:

TEMPERATURES:  With the upper wave gone by, Canadian high pressure is settling in over the area, bringing us clear skies and seasonable daytime highs topping out in the mid 50's.  The nighttime lows are something to watch out for…frost is possible the each night in south central Michigan between now and Saturday.

RAIN:  All the models agree that we'll stay pretty dry through Saturday.  Saturday evening into Sunday, it looks like we'll have to add a chance of scattered showers or maybe a lonely thunderstorm into the mix.  Not much else to say beyond that.

SEVERE WEATHER:  Michigan should be all quiet across the board for the next three days.  The high pressure we're sitting in is an import from Canada, so it will be drier and cooler than if we had something migrating up here from the Gulf of Mexico.  As a result, the severe threat is pretty close to zero.  In the Deep South though, it's a different ballgame.  Here's a look at today's forecast from the Storm Prediction Center:

Notice the "slight" risk in Dixie and up through the Tennessee valley into Kentucky today.  If the last couple of days are any indicator, severe storms should start spooling up in the afternoon, and since it is April…look out.  SPC's Day 2 outlook looks like this:

Notice the "slight" risk hasn't really moved a lot, just shrunk south a bit.  The "general" risk area slips further away from Michigan, so again, looks like smooth sailing the next few days.

Here's a look at temperatures around southern Michigan within the last half-hour:

Crystal clear skies and near 40 or better across the state.  Currently in Jackson, bright blue skies, temperature 39, dew point 35, winds calm, relative humidity 85%.  Now let's have a look at the pinpoint local forecast for Jackson County.

For today, mainly sunny and pleasant, a passing cloud is possible, high temperatures near 60 with winds N at 7-14 MPH.re

Tonight, starry skies, chilly, some scattered frost likely late, lows roll back to 33 with NNE winds 5-10 MPH.

Thursday, more sunshine, cooler, high temperatures near 50, NE winds 7-14 MPH.

Thursday night, clear, cold, frost possible again late, low of 30, winds NE 5-10 MPH.

Good Friday, a repeat of Thursday except for the temperature.  Sunny, seasonable, high of 52, winds NE 5-10 MPH.

Saturday, mainly sunny, warmer, a few passing clouds start to thicken a bit after dark, high temperatures near 60, winds southerly 5-10 MPH.

Easter Sunday, a chance of scattered showers then dry, high near 58, west winds 10-20 MPH.

The new work week on Monday starts with a mix of clouds and sun, a chance of a few showers, high near 50, winds WNW 15-25 MPH.

Tuesday, partly sunny and cold, high 42, NW winds 15-25 MPH.

Looks like a typical early spring pattern has finally established itself in the area.  Stay tuned for updates here on the blog.  Don't forget to follow me on Twitter: @wxrefMikeD.

Have a great day!  Blessings.