Another chilly start to the morning here in Jackson, coming off a Freeze Warning that is still in effect through tomorrow...temperatures hovering in the mid to high 20's overnight, but it is improving! We're into the upper 30's or better throughout the area. We'll need to get through today and tonight and then temperatures will start to moderate in time for the weekend. We'll have to pay for that warmth though - showers and thunderstorms are a likely as well. Let's take a deeper dive:
TEMPERATURES: A late-season Canadian Special is keeping a lid on temperatures for at least the next day or so. A series of upper level waves have been moving through along with the colder air, those are just enough to bother the atmosphere and make it rain or snow. Temperature variations were enough around the area that we did see some changeovers between snow and rain throughout the day. We'll be back into the more seasonable 50's on Friday throughout the area, and 60's are on the table for Saturday.
RAIN: You'll notice that the S word is not in this section now. We had a trace of light snow in a few spots, and almost everyone saw some flurries. None of that going forward though. Clear skies and not much going on up in the atmosphere to trigger anything beyond some passing clouds. Now on the weekend, there's your break point. Showers and storms moving through will keep us damp in fits and starts. Here's what the National Weather Service thinks regarding rain for the next 5 days:
As you can see, the computer models now have us getting a little bit wetter. Back on Easter Sunday, Michigan was basically bone dry. Now, most of the state looks to have at least a half-inch of rain over the next five days, most of that coming toward and into the weekend.
SEVERE WEATHER: Again, not here. At the risk of jinxing us, since the Dexter tornado back in March, things have been pretty quiet here in south central Michigan, and that trend looks to continue. The cold air/warm air/cold air pattern in the upper air that has been prevalent, basically splitting the US into thirds, will hold, keeping severe weather out of here for at least the next 4 days anyway. The Storm Prediction Center says no risk of severe storms for Michigan. Here's a look, in order, at days 1 through 3, remember, each forecast map isn't valid until 8AM on that day:
Man, during the entire forecast window, that severe threat just isn't moving much. It's staying out in the Southern and Great Plains. These storms are your typical "dry line showdown" storms, where cold, dry air off the Rockies meets warm, moist air off the Gulf of Mexico. Primary risk for these storms is damaging wind, large hail, and flooding, even though a tornado threat is usually never off the table. Lots of area covered on days 1 and 2 by the green "general" risk area for garden-variety storms.
Here's a look at the current satellite picture, not much to see there, just some passing clouds as the weather-maker from yesterday heads off east. Below that, the radar image with observations from the radar in Grand Rapids:
Here's the forecast for Jackson County:
A Freeze Warning is still in effect for Jackson and most of south central Michigan. Today, periods of clouds and sunshine, breezy, high temperatures near 48, NNW winds 7-15 MPH.
Tonight, clear skies, a freeze warning will be in effect, lows down to around 29, WNW winds calm to 8 MPH.
Thursday, clear skies, milder, high near 53, NW winds 5-10 MPH.
Thursday night, clear and cold, lows right around freezing, NW winds calm to 5 MPH.
Friday the 13th…mostly sunny, breezy, warmer. Highs near 60, winds ESE 7-12 MPH.
Saturday, mainly cloudy, perhaps a few peeks of sun, a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, high near 65.
Sunday, cloudy, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected, high near 66.
Monday, cloudy, cooler a chance of showers and thunderstorms, high near 57.
That's a look at your local forecast for Jackson County, stay tuned for updates on the blog. Follow me on Twitter: @wxMikeD. Like me on Facebook: Forecaster Mike Estwick.
Have a great day! Blessings.
No comments:
Post a Comment