It's a Monday...

Good Monday Morning!

I hope that all of you had an enjoyable Easter weekend.  Now that we're back to work, it's back to work here in the world of weather (and my day job) as well.

Right now there's a broken layer of clouds throughout the area, especially in the north zone.  Here's the visible satellite picture:

The cold air that we have been forecasting for awhile is still on the way down, let's take a deeper dive and see what's going on:

TEMPERATURES:  We'll stay seasonable today and then then cool it down a bunch tonight.  Tuesday and Wednesday look to be the coolest days of the week, and the thermometers will have their hands full trying to break the 50 mark.  Toward the tail end of the week we should see a nice warm-up, with a shot at 70 in the cards for the weekend.

RAIN/SNOW:  The models have been persistent with cold air coming tonight into tomorrow, and along with that, a chance at rain or snow showers.  Anything that we see will be scattered in nature, and it all should be out of here in time for the morning drive on Tuesday.  The next best chance at rain will be this weekend…just in time to put a damper on the warm-up that the models are suggesting will occur.  Here's the 5-Day Total Precip map from the National Weather Service:

SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing really of note for Michigan except that some garden-variety thunderstorms COULD fire on the eastern edge of the state today, and that's it.  Now down into Texas and Oklahoma, that's a different ball game altogether.  Severe storms with hail, wind and the occasional tornado are likely through the end of the week.  Here's a look at the breakdown from the Storm Prediction Center, starting with days 1 & 2.  All of these forecasts are effective at 8AM each day:

Here's Day 3:

And here's days 4 through 8.  It all stays in the Great Plains.  Storm chasers are probably licking their chops at this setup.

Here's a look at the current radar, not much to see except the current observations and a few returns that are barely showers way up in the north zone:

Now it's time to look at the forecast:

For today, periods of clouds and sun, windy, high temperature of 53 with west winds 15-25 MPH.

Tonight, clouds increase, then we'll see a chance of scattered rain or snow showers, nighttime lows float within a degree or two of freezing, NW winds 10-20 MPH.  Depending on where you're at in south central Michigan, your precipitation may change once or twice between now and daybreak tomorrow.

Tuesday, any snow or snow showers should change back over to rain by 8AM, then start to clear off by lunchtime.  Partly sunny and cooler, highs near 45.  Winds WNW 10-20 MPH.

Tuesday night, a few clouds about but mainly starry skies, nighttime lows around 30.

Wednesday, mostly sunny, high near 50, winds northerly 7-15 MPH.

Thursday, mostly clear, clouds thicken up toward nightfall, chance of showers late, lows near 36.

Friday, mostly sunny early, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after lunchtime, high near 56,  spots in the north zone could see temperatures top out in the high 40's. SE winds 5-10 MPH.

Saturday, showers and thunderstorms possible early morning, then partly sunny, but storms rebuild for the evening, high temperatures near 70, WSW winds 7-15 MPH.

Sunday, sunny, pleasant, high near 72, SW winds 10-20 MPH.

That's a look at your weather, update here later this afternoon.  Blessings.