Excellent Easter!!!

Good Afternoon and Happy Easter!

I hope that all of you have had or will have the chance to relax and enjoy the day with friends or family.

Here in south central Michigan we have plenty of sunshine and temperatures in the high 50’s with a couple of 60’s being reported.  The showers moved through as advertised, though that occurred a little quicker than I expected it to, most places were mainly clear by 9AM, so any morning Easter Egg hunts should have been dry if a bit cool with the stiff northwest breeze.  Here’s a look at the visible satellite image:

Let’s take a deeper dive.

TEMPERATURES:  We’ll see daytime temperatures stay in the 50’s through tomorrow afternoon, as Canadian high pressure continues to edge closer.  After that, things will cool and the thermometer will struggle to reach 50, especially in the north zone.  Temperatures in the south zone counties may hit 50 on Wednesday, we’ll know more tomorrow.

RAIN/SNOW :  We still have a chance of rain showers tonight, and rain or snow showers tomorrow night into late Tuesday.  As the colder high pressure moves in, an upper level wave is riding the cold air leading edge, this could kick off the rain or snow showers.  Anything that does form will be scattered to numerous in nature.  After we get through the Monday/Tuesday stretch, out next chance of rain will come around Friday night into Saturday, as the models are showing a strong upper level disturbance.  We will have a better idea of timing and amount of rain later.  The National Weather Service is expecting us to stay pretty dry through Thursday, here’s their 5-Day Total Precipitation Map:

SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing here in Michigan for the next several days.  All of the severe potential is staying well to the southwest of us, in the Southern Plains and back into New Mexico.  Here are the Day 1 and Day 2 severe outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, these are valid at 8AM each day.

Notice that Day 2 features a wider “general” risk area, as well as a small one out east in Ohio, West Virginia, and Pennsylvania.

Once again, I have to include maps that I normally don’t in this section, these are SPC’s day 3 through 8 Severe outlook maps:

With them identifying severe storm potential this far out through Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas, conditions will need to be monitored closely.  It looks like there is the chance that a significant severe weather event could be stacking up for the south end of Tornado Alley.

Let’s take a look at the local forecast for Jackson County:

For the rest of Easter Sunday, mostly sunny and breezy, an occasional passing cloud, with a high of 58.  WNW winds 15-25 MPH.

Tonight, mostly starry skies some areas could see a passing shower, lows down to 38, westerly winds diminish to 7-15 MPH.

Back to work on Monday with mainly clear skies, increasing clouds as the day progresses, high temperatures near 56.  West winds 10-20 MPH.

Monday night, a chance of rain or snow showers, nighttime lows drop to 31, NW winds 7-15 MPH.

Tuesday, cloudy, a chance of rain or snow showers, high of 43, WNW winds 10-20 MPH.  Rain could change to snow in the evening, as lows will float a couple of degrees either side of freezing.

Wednesday, clearing, then becoming mostly sunny, high near 48, NW winds 8-15 MPH.

Thursday, mostly clear skies but a chance at a passing shower late in the day, high near 55, NNW winds 5-10 MPH.

Friday, mostly sunny, high near 57, SSE winds 10-15 MPH.

There’s a look at your forecast for the area, we’ll have an update later this evening and a complete forecast tomorrow.

Remember to follow me on Twitter: wxMikeD.  You can send weather info or pictures to #scenmiwx on Twitter.

Have a great day!