Saturday, April 21, 2012

Cool But Dry For Awhile...

Good Morning.

The rain has moved off to the east, and some of the clouds along with it.  Now we're sitting under a very chilly air mass, imported from Canada.  What you see now is what you'll get for pretty much the entire week, with a slight warming trend thrown in.

On the east coast, all the models agree that Philadelphia, Baltimore, and points northeast will be treated to some snow courtesy of a late season Nor'Easter that starts off the coast of Georgia and South Carolina, then hugs the eastern seaboard before backing up inland over Maryland, New Jersey and New York State.  Let's take a deeper dive:

TEMPERATURES:  The warmest we'll see for the next few days is mid 50's, perhaps an outside chance at a 60 and a brief break in this pattern on Wednesday into Thursday, then back to the cool stuff until next Saturday, if the GFS model run is correct.

RAIN:  For Michigan, we see a little bit of an upper disturbance come though Tuesday as the trough over the eastern US really digs in deep, with that intense surface low off to the east in upstate New York and likely causing all kinds of snow madness there, we may see a shower or a snowflake as a result, but it shouldn't be much, or long duration, if we get anything at all.  This will change, as one model says a pretty strong low will scoot just south of us Wednesday evening into Thursday, kicking off some rain.  It's too early yet to see if we'll be dealing with two separate systems, or if the models are looking at the same thing and arguing about the arrival time, but for my money, I think it's the same system, and the models can't line up a time just yet.  Here's what the National Weather Service thinks we'll be getting in the way of precipitation the next five days:


SEVERE WEATHER:  Not unless you want to count a severe headache from being sick with the temperatures fluctuating wildly week to week.  The only "slight" risk category on the map is the south half of the Florida peninsula for today.  Here's a look at that on  the map:


After that, no risk of anything beyond everyday thunderstorms for the next few days anywhere in the country.  This is a good thing, considering the tornadoes last week in the Plains, and the one-year anniversary of the 2011 Super Outbreak in the Deep South on April 27th.

Here's the local forecast for Jackson County:  today clouds should be mostly gone by early afternoon, then partly sunny, cool, high temperatures near 55, winds NE 5-10 MPH.

Tonight: Periods of clouds and stars, chilly, lows roll all the way back to 33, don't be surprised to see a frost or freeze warning posted tonight, winds calm to NNE at 8 MPH.

Sunday, mostly cloudy, perhaps a few peeks at sunshine here and there, high temperature 55, winds increasing to northerly 10-20 MPH.

Sunday Night: clearing, cold, lows will hover within a degree of freezing, winds north 5-10 MPH.

Monday: Clear skies, cool, high of 55, winds north but turning easterly, 5-10 MPH.

Tuesday: Sunny to start, then increasing clouds with a chance of a shower, a bit warmer, high of 57

Wednesday: Cloudy, chance of rain, high near 60.

Thursday: Periods of clouds and sun, warmer, high of 62.

There's a look at your forecast for today, I do hope you have a wonderful Saturday!  Blessings.

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