Good Morning!
Some shower activity in the area right now, with clouds in a good portion of South Central Michigan. We'll see some big changes coming int he next couple of days, so let's dive in and see what we have going!
MILD AND A SHOWER: Currently in the area we have plenty of clouds, with some showers in the far south zone, Hillsdale and Coldwater for example. Temperatures in the mid and upper 40's, with Jackson checking on at 47 and Lansing 48. Other than that all of the precipitation is inthe northern half of the Lower Peninsula.
FAIRLY QUIET TODAY: Even with the clouds and such around, I don't expect much more in the way of precipitation or anything like that today, perhaps an isolated to widely scattered shower later this evening, but that's about it. Temperatures should top out in the mid to upper 60's. Some spots will see a 70 or two. Mild and spring-like for sure.
NEXT WEATHER MAKER: Our next system will start working in tomorrow afternoon and evening, and Saturday we'll wake up to cooler conditions, with showers and possibly a couple of thunderstorms during the overnight hours into Saturday. I don't anticipate any of this activity being severe, but we will see temperatures dropping as a result back into the 60's and lower as we work through the weekend.
Here's the forecast:
Today - Cloudy and mild, we can't rule out an isolated PM shower. High 68.
Tonight - Continued overcast, still above average temperatures that only roll back to 48.
Friday - Cloudy, scattered PM showers and perhaps a storm developing. High 67.
Saturday - Overcast and damp - scattered to numerous showers. Cooler. High only 57.
Sunday - Clouds and rainy - cooler still. High only 46.
We'll work on getting you an extended forecast up later on. Have a great day!
Thursday, April 12, 2018
Wednesday, April 11, 2018
Quick Hump Day Review...
Good Morning!
With a few minutes to spare before the day job starts, let's tap into the weather plan for the next few days...
DAMP TONIGHT - We'll see clouds thickening as the day progresses, with the approach from the west of an upper disturbance that will bring showers and perhaps an embedded thunderstorm or two. Daytime highs today should be about 56, and the rains will move in anytime after 9 PM. The good news is that they don't stay around too long, and while you may still have some rain to deal with for AM drive tomorrow, I don't expect anything really crazy.
PERHAPS A BIT MORE FRIDAY - Forecast data is suggesting that we may get visited by a second round of precipitation for Friday. This appears to be more widely spaced shower activity, though I can't rule out a possible hit and run thunderstorm as well. We'll see highs drop after this wave of precipitation as we are...
COOLING DOWN FOR THE WEEKEND: We'll be giving back roughly 15-20 degrees of high temperature for the weekend. We'll be into the upper 60's for Friday, some spots could post a 70, then that's all you see of those right through the forecast window. We'll drop back into the 40's/low 50's regime. The only positive to this is I don't see any real risk for snow of any consequence during the period.
Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Rives Junction and Concord.
Today - Mainly cloudy, any peeks of sun go away by early afternoon. High 54.
Tonight - Rain moving in, with a possible pre-dawn thunderstorm. Lows near 46.
Thursday - Continued overcast with a stray shower possible in a spot or two. Warmer, high 68.
Friday - Cloudy, but the warmest day of the forecast period. Again, we cannot eliminate the mention of a couple of periods of showers. High 71.
Saturday - Cloudy and sharply cooler, scattered to numerous showers and maybe a lonely thunderstorm. High only 54.
Sunday - Cloudy, damp, rainy. High 51.
Monday - Still little to no sunshine, temperatures cooling further, rain or snow showers depending on your location. High of only 44.
Tuesday - Lots of clouds, very little sun, a touch warmer. High 52.
I hope that you have a great Wednesday!
With a few minutes to spare before the day job starts, let's tap into the weather plan for the next few days...
DAMP TONIGHT - We'll see clouds thickening as the day progresses, with the approach from the west of an upper disturbance that will bring showers and perhaps an embedded thunderstorm or two. Daytime highs today should be about 56, and the rains will move in anytime after 9 PM. The good news is that they don't stay around too long, and while you may still have some rain to deal with for AM drive tomorrow, I don't expect anything really crazy.
PERHAPS A BIT MORE FRIDAY - Forecast data is suggesting that we may get visited by a second round of precipitation for Friday. This appears to be more widely spaced shower activity, though I can't rule out a possible hit and run thunderstorm as well. We'll see highs drop after this wave of precipitation as we are...
COOLING DOWN FOR THE WEEKEND: We'll be giving back roughly 15-20 degrees of high temperature for the weekend. We'll be into the upper 60's for Friday, some spots could post a 70, then that's all you see of those right through the forecast window. We'll drop back into the 40's/low 50's regime. The only positive to this is I don't see any real risk for snow of any consequence during the period.
Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Rives Junction and Concord.
Today - Mainly cloudy, any peeks of sun go away by early afternoon. High 54.
Tonight - Rain moving in, with a possible pre-dawn thunderstorm. Lows near 46.
Thursday - Continued overcast with a stray shower possible in a spot or two. Warmer, high 68.
Friday - Cloudy, but the warmest day of the forecast period. Again, we cannot eliminate the mention of a couple of periods of showers. High 71.
Saturday - Cloudy and sharply cooler, scattered to numerous showers and maybe a lonely thunderstorm. High only 54.
Sunday - Cloudy, damp, rainy. High 51.
Monday - Still little to no sunshine, temperatures cooling further, rain or snow showers depending on your location. High of only 44.
Tuesday - Lots of clouds, very little sun, a touch warmer. High 52.
I hope that you have a great Wednesday!
Tuesday, April 3, 2018
Severe Weather Possible Today...
Good Morning!
Just enough time to let you know that today South Central Michigan is under a "marginal" risk for severe weather according to the Storm Prediction Center. Have a look at the map below:
About the only counties in the blog area that are not impacted by this are Clinton and Shiawassee. All other counties are included. Fortunately I do not expect any tornadic severe weather, but what I do expect is a marching line of strong to severe storms with some damaging straight-line winds and some hail, potentially up to quarter sized as the main threats. That being said, please have a way to get any warnings and know what to do if you come under one. And while I said I don't expect any tornadic weather, quick spin-up tornadoes can and do like to hide in a line of storms. We'll have to see if we get any cellular storms to start before the line organizes and starts marching, and we won't know about that until we see how the atmosphere recovers and resets from the AM showers and such that moved through.
Stay weather aware and be safe today!
Monday, April 2, 2018
Springtime Severe On The Way?
Good Morning!
South Central Michigan could see it's first spring severe weather tomorrow afternoon and evening. Let's get right into it.
NOT MUCH TO WORRY WITH TODAY: We don't have a whole lot to concern ourselves with today, as I expect mainly clear and chilly, but tomorrow will be a whole different issue.
STORMS TOMORROW: With the approach of a low that's starting it's trip on the eastern plains of Colorado today, skies will cloud up and moisture streaming north from the Gulf Of Mexico will run into the low and we'll see some showers and thunderstorms, some of these could be locally strong or severe, with gusty winds and possibly a bit of hail. The stronger dynamics that would up the ante for severe are south of Michigan, back into Indiana and further southwest. Have a look at these maps...
You can also see that the system will already be working on our weather just to the southwest, with a marginal risk for severe today being outlined by the Storm Prediction Center.
OK, WHAT ABOUT THE WEATHER TOMORROW?: Tomorrow's weather will be unsettled. The feature I referenced above that will touch off the severe weather in our part of the world will also raise temperatures into the 50's with it, thanks to the southerly flow that will be bringing all that moisture up here. You wouldn't have to go much further north than say Muskegon or Clare to find snow though! Up in the northern edge of this system in the cold sector, snow will be falling. As it stands now I don't think we see any in South Central Michigan, we'll re-check that tomorrow.
Quick forecast for the next three days for you, then the straight job awaits....
Today - Increasing clouds, seasonable. High 46.
Tonight - Cloudy, some widely scattered showers are possible. Low 33.
Tuesday - Cloudy, a couple of AM showers, then PM showers and storms developing, especially along and south of I-94, some could be locally strong to severe. High 50.
Wednesday - Continued cloudy and colder, high only 38.
Have a great Monday!
South Central Michigan could see it's first spring severe weather tomorrow afternoon and evening. Let's get right into it.
NOT MUCH TO WORRY WITH TODAY: We don't have a whole lot to concern ourselves with today, as I expect mainly clear and chilly, but tomorrow will be a whole different issue.
STORMS TOMORROW: With the approach of a low that's starting it's trip on the eastern plains of Colorado today, skies will cloud up and moisture streaming north from the Gulf Of Mexico will run into the low and we'll see some showers and thunderstorms, some of these could be locally strong or severe, with gusty winds and possibly a bit of hail. The stronger dynamics that would up the ante for severe are south of Michigan, back into Indiana and further southwest. Have a look at these maps...
You can also see that the system will already be working on our weather just to the southwest, with a marginal risk for severe today being outlined by the Storm Prediction Center.
OK, WHAT ABOUT THE WEATHER TOMORROW?: Tomorrow's weather will be unsettled. The feature I referenced above that will touch off the severe weather in our part of the world will also raise temperatures into the 50's with it, thanks to the southerly flow that will be bringing all that moisture up here. You wouldn't have to go much further north than say Muskegon or Clare to find snow though! Up in the northern edge of this system in the cold sector, snow will be falling. As it stands now I don't think we see any in South Central Michigan, we'll re-check that tomorrow.
Quick forecast for the next three days for you, then the straight job awaits....
Today - Increasing clouds, seasonable. High 46.
Tonight - Cloudy, some widely scattered showers are possible. Low 33.
Tuesday - Cloudy, a couple of AM showers, then PM showers and storms developing, especially along and south of I-94, some could be locally strong to severe. High 50.
Wednesday - Continued cloudy and colder, high only 38.
Have a great Monday!
Sunday, March 11, 2018
Quick Look For The New Week...
Good Afternoon!
Still seasonably cold in the area with a Canadian Special bringing us cold northerly flow out from north of the border. We expect this pattern to persist for the next few days, then we'll start to see some changes around mid-week. Let's have a look and see what's going on...
A PAIR OF PLAYERS: Two players on the field to be concerned about. The first is an upper low currently over eastern Nebraska/western Iowa, that will become a closed low over the next several hours and progress southeasterly. That is responsible for the Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings well to our south.
The second player is another upper low that is a fair ways into Canada. It's currently several hundred miles northwest of us, but I expect it to be here at some point on Tuesday based on the available forecast data.
WHAT DO THEY DO?: Well, the upper low heading southeast doesn't directly impact us itself, but it does appear that it will change up the track of the Canadian upper low a little bit in our favor. Additionally, this low is the one that New York and New England were concerned would be the third nor'easter in 2 weeks, but the forecast data is indicating that he'll just march right out to sea and keep on going - so no wraparound snow or anything like that to worry about.
The second one in Canada right now? 1) He'll keep cold air working into Michigan until the latter part of the week; 2) Tomorrow night into Tuesday, we'll see the chance of a few flurries or some light snow. I don't really think we'll see a ton in the way of accumulation because there's not a whole lot of moist air for this system to work with.
WARMING UP: Good news! Milder conditions are on the way. I expect to see some 50's and possibly a 60 or two around the area for the weekend. Enjoy it because things change again to start the new work week!
A NEW SHOT OF PRECIPITATION: I expect us to see some sun on Monday, but clouds will thicken as the next weather-maker approaches us from the east. We'll also be close enough to the leading edge of some cold air that there is some uncertainty at this time as to whether we'll be seeing all rain, all snow, or a wintry mix. Behind that, temperatures will be falling back into a more winter-like range with clearing as well.
Here's the forecast:
This evening: Increasing clouds as the night wears on, lows roll back to near 22.
Monday - More clouds than sunshine, seasonable, high 39.
Monday Night - Cloudy with a chance of some light snow - lows near 21.
Tuesday - Partly cloudy and chilly, high near 37.
Wednesday - Partly cloudy, high 43.
Thursday - A mix of clouds and sun, not as cold, high 48.
Friday - Mainly sunny and warmer, high 51.
Have a great rest of your Sunday
Still seasonably cold in the area with a Canadian Special bringing us cold northerly flow out from north of the border. We expect this pattern to persist for the next few days, then we'll start to see some changes around mid-week. Let's have a look and see what's going on...
A PAIR OF PLAYERS: Two players on the field to be concerned about. The first is an upper low currently over eastern Nebraska/western Iowa, that will become a closed low over the next several hours and progress southeasterly. That is responsible for the Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings well to our south.
The second player is another upper low that is a fair ways into Canada. It's currently several hundred miles northwest of us, but I expect it to be here at some point on Tuesday based on the available forecast data.
WHAT DO THEY DO?: Well, the upper low heading southeast doesn't directly impact us itself, but it does appear that it will change up the track of the Canadian upper low a little bit in our favor. Additionally, this low is the one that New York and New England were concerned would be the third nor'easter in 2 weeks, but the forecast data is indicating that he'll just march right out to sea and keep on going - so no wraparound snow or anything like that to worry about.
The second one in Canada right now? 1) He'll keep cold air working into Michigan until the latter part of the week; 2) Tomorrow night into Tuesday, we'll see the chance of a few flurries or some light snow. I don't really think we'll see a ton in the way of accumulation because there's not a whole lot of moist air for this system to work with.
WARMING UP: Good news! Milder conditions are on the way. I expect to see some 50's and possibly a 60 or two around the area for the weekend. Enjoy it because things change again to start the new work week!
A NEW SHOT OF PRECIPITATION: I expect us to see some sun on Monday, but clouds will thicken as the next weather-maker approaches us from the east. We'll also be close enough to the leading edge of some cold air that there is some uncertainty at this time as to whether we'll be seeing all rain, all snow, or a wintry mix. Behind that, temperatures will be falling back into a more winter-like range with clearing as well.
Here's the forecast:
This evening: Increasing clouds as the night wears on, lows roll back to near 22.
Monday - More clouds than sunshine, seasonable, high 39.
Monday Night - Cloudy with a chance of some light snow - lows near 21.
Tuesday - Partly cloudy and chilly, high near 37.
Wednesday - Partly cloudy, high 43.
Thursday - A mix of clouds and sun, not as cold, high 48.
Friday - Mainly sunny and warmer, high 51.
Have a great rest of your Sunday
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