A Clip Or Two Of Snow...

Good Afternoon!

Gray, damp and dreary in South Central Michigan - at least the deep freeze isn't on though.  We'll be getting a visit from the Clippers in the next couple of days, as the upper air pattern resets itself a couple of times.  That means some clouds and a couple of shots of snow for the area - let's have a closer look after the break...

Quick New Week Look

Good Evening!

After a wild stretch of weather with some showers and storms that brought hail to the area, it's just a cool and partly cloudy regime for the next several days.  Let's dive in and have a look.

SEASONABLY COOL:  Average temperatures in this part of the world are 62 degrees, readings will hover in the 58-63 range, with nighttime lows dipping into the upper 30's.  That's the motif

A FEW PERIODS OF RAIN:  Thanks to low pressure well north of the US into Canada, some disturbances will be working into and through the area, each of them will be bringing clouds and a few showers into the area.  The occasional storm can't be ruled out either.  It looks like those rain chances will be best for tomorrow and Tuesday.  That being said, a stray shower anytime this week, really can't be ruled out at the moment.

NO SEVERE WEATHER:  No severe weather on the horizon the next 72 hours, and I'm not seeing anything in the cards that would concern me later either.

HERE'S THE FORECAST:  

Tonight - mainly cloudy, low 43.  Winds NW 6-12 MPH.

Tomorrow - Mainly cloudy, a few scattered showers cannot be ruled out.  High 60.  Wind WNW 5-10 MPH.

Tomorrow Night - Clouds persist a stray shower or two may linger, lows near 41.

Tuesday - Some clouds, seasonably warm, high 61.

Wednesday - Sunny, mild, high 60.

Have a wonderful day!

Rain Then Much Cooler...

Good Afternoon!

More seasonable Canadian air is in here now, but we will see a bit of moderation in that, along with some showers and such in the area as we get toward the weekend.  Let's take a deeper dive and see what's going on...

FALL IS HERE - NO QUESTIONS ASKED:  Troughing and cooler air will work their way across the country over the next few days.  Right now the upper air setup is trough west, ridge east, with an upper low over eastern Pennsylvania and lower New England that will eventually give up and move offshore.  The trough is kind of resting over the Rockies and High Plains now, but it will soon put it in drive and head east.  We'll see temperatures trend up into the 70's tomorrow, and after that, a frontal boundary comes through in time for the weekend that will bring seasonably mild weather and cool nights on the back side of that. But first, we'll see some...

PERIODS OF RAIN AND PERHAPS A FEW STORMS:  Forecast data indicates that there will be a chance of a few showers and storms anytime between now and Sunday really, but the best chance appears to be a smaller rain event tomorrow into Friday, with a more substantial risk thereafter.  Have a look at this map:

You'll want to keep an umbrella handy, no doubt.  I'm curious to see how intense the cold front coming through will be, as there's the chance of a gusty thunderstorm rolling through ahead of the front, after that, you'll want another layer of clothes, because after that front, we'll see...

READINGS DIPPING INTO THE 40'S:  Forecast models are indicating that we may not make it out of the 40's on Saturday!  Currently the GFS is printing a high of only 48 for Jackson!  I'll need another model run (which is processing now) to confirm it, but based on the data at hand, that doesn't look like a lowball prediction to me.

MORE CHANGES TO START THE NEW WEEK:  After we get the chilly stuff on Saturday and Sunday gone, the pattern resets again and more west to east flow allows readings to get back comfortably into the the 60's.  A surface boundary being dragged behind a bona fide low north of the border touches off more showers on Tuesday, then things look to be fairly quiet thereafter.

Here's the forecast:

Have a wonderful day!  Blessings.

A Bit Of Stormy Weather...

Good Evening!

It has been far too long since I have posted here, so now is a perfect time for me to rectify that.  Super-busy with some changes on the horizon personally.  I'll share those with you down the line.  Let's have a look and see what the weekend has in store...

MAYBE SOME SEVERE WEATHER?:  We'll check it again in the morning and I'll let you know, but it appears that our stretch of fairly cool and mild weather is coming to an end, as a result of the previously mentioned frontal boundary working into the area.  Look at this map:

This is the Storm Prediction Center's idea of what tomorrow may bring us - you see we are in the "slight" risk for severe weather tomorrow, along with northern Indiana, northern Illinois, and the southeast sliver of Wisconsin.  I do not expect any tornadic weather tomorrow.  What SPC is seeing, and I agree, is the possibility of straight-line wind damage, and perhaps some hail.  Again, we'll know a lot more as the evening progresses and the sun rises tomorrow.

QUIET FRIDAY NIGHT:  We'll have a fairly quiet evening tonight, with mainly starry skies unless you're the type that likes to stay out and close down the establishments, in which case you'll see some clouds start to develop as we get into the pre-dawn Saturday time frame.  An upper low well off to the north in Canada is set to drag a boundary through here, and we expect some showers and storms as a result.

FAIRLY DAMP WEEKEND:  I don't expect the weekend to be a total washout, but I do expect periods of scattered showers and thunderstorms, with Saturday having the better chances than Sunday.  After we get through Saturday, I expect maybe a couple of lingering showers with seasonably cool temperatures and clouds for Sunday.

HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES NEXT WEEK:  After we get the clouds and such out of here, high pressure moves in and dominates not just Michigan, but the entire eastern half of the US for the balance of the week.  In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if we remain dry until October kicks off!  It should be a fine week, not too chilly in the evenings!

SUMMER-LIKE SATURDAY, THEN COOLER:  Forecast data indicates right now that we'll see readings in the upper 70's throughout the area, and some places may even touch 80 tomorrow before the rains come and cool everything back down into the upper 60's lower 70's that you'd expect this time of the year.  Average high for the area is right around 71.

Here's a look at the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Leslie and Springport:

Tonight - starry skies until late, seasonably cool, lows near 50.  Winds SE 3-7 MPH.

Saturday - Sunny to start, increasing clouds as the day progresses, scattered PM showers and a couple of storms by 5 PM.  Warm and a touch humid, high 76.  Wind turning SW 5-10 MPH.

Saturday Night - cloudy, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some of these could have small hail, heavy rains, gusty winds up to 50 MPH, or a combination.  Lows only roll back to 59, winds SW 6-12 MPH.

Sunday - cloudy to start, a few straggling AM showers possible, PM clearing, cooler, high 68.  Wind NW 5-10 MPH.

Monday - Sunny and seasonable, high 66.

Tuesday - Full on fall sun - warmer, high 74.

Wednesday - Clear and comfortable, high 76.

Thursday - Rewind and repeat; more blue skies and mild temperatures, high 75.

There's a look at your forecast for the next several days, I'll be looking at things tomorrow to let you know if you need to gear up for some serious weather.  Right now it looks like all you'll need is an umbrella and the need to get your outdoor stuff done by about 4 PM.

Blessings!

TORNADO WATCH - HILLSDALE, LENAWEE

The National Weather Service has issued a Tornado Watch until 9 PM EDT for Southeast Hillsdale County Monroe County and Lenawee County.   This means that conditions favor the development of tornadoes, and that you should be ready to take action should you be in an area where a Tornado Warning is issued.  Stay weather aware.  Local media, the NWS, & this blog are good places to get information.