Winter...Reloaded

Good Morning!

Well, our brief thaw is over, and we have plenty of ice to worry about now from snow melt and standing water from that and rain.  Back to winter we go.  Let’s have a look and see what’s on tap.

BACK TO COLD:  After warming to 47 degrees on Thursday, and a high in the mid 30’s today, we can forget about getting back to 30 or above until next week.  Average high in the area this time of year is 40, so well below normal readings for the next several days.

A COUPLE OF CHANCES AT SOME SNOW:  The good news, is the cold air will limit any vigorous storm activity for awhile, but we will have to cope with a couple of upper disturbances working through that could bring us a touch of snow.  The first is tomorrow morning around 8 AM.  I will add just the mention of a few flurries , as this looks to be a fairly weak little thing.  Another impulse works through on Tuesday mid-morning.  After that we should be fairly quiet with varying sunshine until we get to near the weekend.  If you haven’t pieced it together yet, we’re back into that Clipper pattern.   The difference is Canadian high pressure is more prevalent than it has been.

HAVE A LOOK AT THIS: This is the GFS Forecast model early Wednesday morning.  All that pink and such in Canada and extending into the US is that nasty polar that will see you waking up to very cold conditions!

Quiet in the area right now, just variable clouds depending on where you look, here’s the forecast:

Have a wonderful Saturday!  Blessings.

Warm & Windy Tonight, Then Windy & Colder...

Here's a look at current conditions at a couple of spots, just look at that reading in Coldwater!  That's not a misprint...

Forecast for Jackson and vicinity -

Tonight - Periods of clouds, wind increasing as the night progresses, some lingering showers may work through before 3 AM.  Lows near 34, winds SW 15-25 MPH with gusts as high as 50 MPH.

Friday - Cloudy, periods of snow, very windy, colder.  High 36. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, Gusts to 45 MPH.

Saturday - Some sunshine, colder, high 34.  Winds WNW 8-16 MPH.

More to come.  Blessings!

Brace For Back To Winter...

There really hasn't been a lot to say about the weather in the area today except for "man oh man" - until now. We have had all of the weather that you could possibly want, short of summer-like conditions.  The Storm Prediction Center pulled us out of the slight risk for severe yesterday, and that has lived up to advance billing. All of the action has been to the south and west of us.

Our turn is coming soon, and I can say that it looks like we shouldn't have to worry about any major issues, but I can't rule out the chance that a severe thunderstorm warning would be needed tonight.  Let's take a peek at Tru-Track Doppler and see what's on tap:

The storm just off the map south of Coldwater will be working into Michigan in the next half hour or so, impacting Branch and Hillsdale counties.  I am seeing that the storms are losing steam as they come into the colder, more stable air here, so hopefully that trend continues.

You can expect additional rain, up to 3/4" of an inch depending on where you are, and that, combined with snow melt from the above freezing readings, and clogged storm drains, will lead to plenty of standing water.

I'm looking at data for after this stuff gets through here beyond the midnight to 1 AM time frame.  More to come.

Your Weather Smorgasboard...

It's back, so here's a look at Tru-Track Doppler Radar with a little bit of everything for you on it.  Some of this rain will fall as freezing rain so use caution if you must travel...

And here's a look at what the Storm Prediction Center thinks we have in store.

As you can see, they have upped the ante with a moderate risk over Kentucky, western Tennessee, far northern Mississippi, and extreme northwest Alabama.  It looks like the best best for severe weather mode in these areas is straight line winds.  We don't expect anything like that here.

More to come...

Current Conditions

Here's one last look at conditions before the mayhem starts later today...