Saturday, May 12, 2012

Strong T-Storm Advisory - Clinton Co. Gusty winds 30+ MPH, heavy rain and frequent lightning possible. Alma, Fowler, heads up!

Friday, May 11, 2012

Fantastic Friday!

Good Morning!


The weekend is finally knocking at the door.  It's my usual busiest day of the week, so there will be no audio forecast today, and an abbreviated discussion this morning.  Plan of action is to supplement this post with an update this afternoon that will contain a more complete "deeper dive".  Let's touch on a few things though; we'll call this "walking in the shallow end". :-)


TEMPERATURES:  Nothing earth-shattering in terms of extreme temperatures, but modeling indicates a warming trend, with temperatures looking to take a shot at 80 for the latter part of next week.


RAIN:  Looking fairly dry for the next six days.  That being said, there is a chance of showers and perhaps a roaming thunderstorm or two, models suggest the timing of those will be mid-afternoon or early evening on Saturday, with the chance possibly carrying over into Sunday.  After that, odds are good we'll stay dry the next five days.


SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing forecast for the next three days in Michigan, but the "general" risk of plain Jane thunderstorms is there.  West Michigan has it today, and it moves to clip roughly the southeastern two-thirds of the South Central Michigan Weather Zone for tomorrow.  


Here's your local forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Cement City and Rives Junction:


Today, mainly sunny skies, some passing clouds during the afternoon, mild, high of 72, winds SW, 7-14 MPH.

Tonight, clear skies, low of 50, SW winds 5-10 MPH.

Saturday, mainly clear with increasing clouds during the afternoon, breezy, a widely scattered shower or lonely thunderstorm cannot be ruled out, high near 73.  Winds W 7-14 MPH.

Saturday night, mainly cloudy skies, perhaps a peek at some stars, still a chance a widely scattered shower or storm, nighttime low of 48.

Sunday, periods of clouds and sunshine, still a chance of an isolated shower, high 71.

Monday, bright blue skies, pleasant, high 73.


Tuesday, sunny, nice, high 75.


Wednesday, a carbon copy of Tuesday, except add a couple of degrees, high of 77.


There's a look at your forecast for the next 6 days.  I hope your Friday is a great one.  Blessings.

Thursday, May 10, 2012

Spring Sunshine Aplenty!

Good Morning!


I'm a little grumpy with myself regarding the forecast yesterday.  Looks like I have to take ownership of a busted forecast, which, in hindsight was avoidable.  I didn't call for those cellular thunderstorms that popped up like popcorn yesterday afternoon, even though I did debate tossing a chance of a thunderstorm into the forecast.  Had I done so, I probably would have used my usual "lonely" or "roaming" thunderstorm language.  In any event, they fired, and dropped intense rain in short bursts. A little more than the stray shower or two I did mention.  Sorry about that.  Let's get to a deeper dive into what looks to be a nice forecast for the next several days...


TEMPERATURES:  A surface low just is just moving offshore in New England, allowing the trough that is keeping things in the low to mid 60's here to move east too.  As that moves away and creates a little bit of space, a bit of an upper air ridge forms, bringing in a warmer southwesterly air flow, and temperatures then climb into the 70's for the next several days.  Nighttime lows look to hold in the high 40's to mid 50's range.


RAIN:  Not much.  Outside of a 35-45% chance at some scattered showers Saturday afternoon, there's just not much else to talk about.  The National Weather Service hasn't really changed their idea of how wet we get for the next five days, here's a look at that map...



Three-tenths of an inch is about as good as it gets anywhere in Michigan, and that's way off to the northwest of us.


SEVERE WEATHER:  The Storm Prediction Center doesn't have us getting anything here in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone for the next three days.  In fact, the only thing Michigan has to be concerned with is a general risk of thunderstorms in the western part of the state on day two.  Here's a look at the maps for days one and two, with a pretty quiet look for the whole country:
Day One, the only "slight" risk is in far southern Texas and that's it!
Day Two, no "slight" anywhere in the US, with a "general" risk confined to West Michigan.


Here's a look at the current visible satellite and Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar images, showing a whole bunch of...nothing.



And here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Michigan Center and Grass Lake.
   
Today, clear and pleasant, perhaps a few scattered clouds here and there, high of 66, winds NNW 5-10 MPH.


Tonight, mainly starry skies with some passing clouds, a little chilly, nighttime low of 37 with winds NW calm to 5 MPH.


Friday, sunny skies, warmer, high of 70, winds swinging NW to SW, increasing to 5-10 MPH.


Friday night, clear, but clouds start to roll in late, low of 49, SW winds 5-8 MPH.


Saturday, periods of clouds and sunshine, breezy and nice, a lonely shower is possible during the afternoon, high 74, winds SW 7-14 MPH.


Sunday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, high 70.


Monday, clear, high of 73.


Tuesday, bright blue skies with abundant sunshine, high 75.


That's a look at your local forecast for the next six days, I hope you have a wonderful Thursday!  Blessings.

Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Special Weather Statement until 4:45 EDT

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids is advising that there are showers with embedded thunderstorms that can produce pea sized hail, heavy rain and brief but intense lightning. Counties included are: Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson. Advisory is set to expire at 4:45 PM. More updates as needed.

Yawn...Stable and Seasonable Pattern...

Good Morning!


Yesterday turned out to be a splendid day in south central Michigan!  Sun and reasonable temperatures.  We will not have a lot going on the next few days here, as we have settled into a calm and "routine" spring pattern.  Let's take a deeper dive and see what we have going on...


TEMPERATURES:  We stay on the cool side of seasonable for the next few days with temperatures from 60-75 for daytime highs and nighttime lows rolling back into the 40's.  74 is the warmest temperature being tossed about by the GFS computer model over the next few days.


RAIN:  Still a dry look for this part of the nation as we are forecast to come in at or below a quarter-inch of rain the next five days.  It looks like we may pick up a stray shower or two here or there today, then it's pretty quiet until the weekend.  Here's the National Weather Service map showing their idea of rain for us for the next five days.  This map is valid at 8AM today...


SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing to see in this part of the world.  Just a "general" risk for plain old-fashioned thunderstorms and that's about it.  Nothing on the day two and three maps for Michigan.  In fact, there's not much of anything anywhere for the next couple of days.  Here's today's outlook map from the Storm Prediction Center, valid at 8AM.




A look at the infrared satellite image for you, showing some broken stratus clouds that will make for a partly to mostly sunny day today, and the Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar showing just a couple of lonely showers northwest of us, about to clip the north zone counties.





And here's the local forecast for Jackson County:


Today, periods of clouds and sunshine, the chance of a lonely stray shower, cool, high of 63.  Winds WNW 5-10 MPH.


Tonight, clouds early then clearing, cool, nighttime lows down to 45 with NNW winds 5-10 MPH.


Thursday, clear and pleasant, perhaps a few scattered clouds here and there, high of 67, winds NW 5-10 MPH.


Thursday night, mainly starry skies with some passing clouds, a tad chilly, nighttime low of 37 with winds NNW 6-14 MPH.


Friday, sunny skies, warmer, high of 73, west winds calm to 6 MPH.


Saturday, mostly sunny, mild, high 74.


Sunday, mainly clear skies, a few clouds pass by during the day, high 70.


Monday, skies stay mainly clear, high of 71.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great hump day Wednesday!  Blessings.