Quick Discussion For Wednesday

Good Morning!

Some changes are on the way here in the area, we have one more day of decent weather, clouds start to roll in as the day progresses, then we start to pick up some showers and storms for Thursday and the tail end of the week.  Let's have a look.

TEMPERATURES:  We'll continue to gain ground on the temperature front and get closer to seasonal readings.  Average temperature in this part of the world for this time of year is 78, and computer modeling is indicating that we get there and a bit warmer to start next week.  The GFS forecast model is suggesting 78 for Monday.  No major heat on the horizon that I can see at this point.

RAIN:  We'll see some wet conditions over the next week, but not in the typical fashion.  There will be enough of a chance of rain for me to mention in the forecast, but not so much as to be a good soaker or complete washout.  The rain will be hit or miss in variety, with the best risk tomorrow and Friday, then again on Monday, where we'll be right around the 50/50 mark for showers, with perhaps a lonely thunderstorm moving through.  You can thank an upper disturbance out around Minnesota and western Wisconsin that is currently firing some showers for the clouds we'll see later.  Rain looks to miss us well north, but don't be shocked to see a few showers sneak through later.

SEVERE WEATHER:  Michigan is on the sidelines for the next three days according to the Storm Prediction Center, with just a "general" risk for unorganized thunderstorms tomorrow, stretching in a sliver from Sturgis to Dundee and Monroe.  Have a look at the map for today:

Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Outlook - "slight" risk for eastern New Mexico, over into northern Texas, southern Oklahoma, most of Arkansas, and parts of Missouri, Kentucky, west Tennessee, northern Mississippi and a sliver of Alabama.

As you can see, the threat is concentrated at the south end of Tornado Alley.

We note just a lone shower in West Michigan, crossing 131 near Wayland right now.  Other small showers have popped up southwest of us and tried to head this way, but they dissipated as they headed northeast.

Here's the forecast:

Today, mixed sunshine early, increasing clouds as the day progresses, we can't eliminate the mention of a stray shower, high 74.  Wind E 3-7 MPH.

Tonight, mainly cloudy, still the chance of an isolated shower or two, low 50, wind NE 5-9 MPH.

Thursday, cloudy skies, a couple of lonely showers possible, high 76, wind NE 3-8 MPH.

There's an abbreviated forecast for you, we'll have more detail later on this evening.  Have a great one!