Quiet Pre-Holiday Weather Continues...

Good Morning!

After a very busy Saturday and Sunday I have time to look at some weather data and see what's in store for the next few days.  From the perch here, two words come to mind.  Mild and dry.  Let's pop the hood and see what we have running in there for the next few days!

SUMMARY:  Not a whole lot going on.  Temperatures remain in the low to mid 50's, about 10 degrees warmer than we should be heading into the holiday season.  We'll climb into the upper 50's and maybe see a 60 in a spot or two as well.  Varying degrees of cloudiness throughout south central Michigan, going from mainly clear to overcast in periods over the next several days. Not much chance for any rain to fall out of the clouds we do see though, thanks to fairly dry air in this part of the world.  All of the weather worries stay confined to the Pacific Northwest and southwest Canada.  Here's a look at the current surface temperatures around this great nation at this hour:

Current computer modeling suggests just a hint of a chance at some rain heading into midweek, then we're quiet again until Black Friday and the kickoff of the holiday season.  Wednesday, the busiest travel day of the year looks to be uneventful on the weather side, unless your travel takes you out toward Washington state, Idaho, Montana or British Columbia.  Thursday evening, while you're sleeping off your turkey dinner and watching some football or relaxing with the family, a cold front advances through the area, knocking 10 degrees or so off the temperatures and creating some late night shower activity.  Black Friday brings us scattered showers early, then clouds and cooler as you perhaps get a jump on your holiday shopping.  Here's a look at the current satellite image:

Visible Satellite Image

RAIN:  As I indicated in the summary above, you won't see a whole lot of it in this part of the world, if the forecast modeling has it right.  Just a slight bit of energy in an upper wave that moves through late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, but I'm not seeing enough moisture in the air at that point to do much, and truthfully, forecast models aren't very convinced about rain either.  Let's take a look at the National Weather Service five day map:

5 Day Precipitation Forecast

Maybe an outside chance of a stray shower Tuesday night into Wednesday, and that's about it until Friday.  Early Friday, some spots may see a few stray showers, and it will be cooler.  I'm thinking that will taper off before you get into the heart of the day Friday, leaving just clouds and highs topping out in the low or middle 40's.  We don't need a severe discussion as the Storm Prediction Center isn't expecting anything organized and severe the next three days anywhere in the continental US.

Here's a look at the temperatures closer to home:

And here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Leslie and Concord:

Today, sunshine and clouds mix together, unseasonably mild, high of 58, don't be surprised to see some spots hit 60 though, winds SE 3-8 MPH.

Tonight, clouds roll in keeping the thermometers from dipping too much, expect lows around 40 under the cloudy skies with winds SSW calm to 5 MPH.  Don't be shocked to see some fog form in the area as well.

Tuesday, cloudy skies, we'll add a small chance at a stray shower through the afternoon hours, a touch cooler than Monday, high 55, winds variable to 5 MPH.

Tuesday night, clearing skies temperatures drop to near 40 again, winds swing to the SE calm to 5 MPH.

Wednesday, periods of clouds and sun followed by clearing, continued unusually mild, high 56.

Thanksgiving Day, give thanks for sunny skies and mild, temperature near 58.

Black Friday, cloudy skies with a few scattered showers early, then cloudy and cooler, highs top out at 46.

Saturday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, cooler temperatures fall back to more seasonable levels with a high of only 40.

Sunday, skies continue partly sunny, with a high of 42.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days here in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone.  I do hope that you have a great day!  Blessings.