Major Storms Expected in Tornado Alley...

If you have friends or family in the Great Plains, contact them somehow, and let them know they need to be prepared for severe weather.  The Storm Prediction Center has issued a "high" risk for north-Central Oklahoma and Central Kansas for tomorrow, Saturday the 14th.  Here's the forecast map, valid at 8AM Saturday:

The last time that I can recall a "high" being issued this far out was for the Deep South last April 27th, leading up to the 2011 Super Outbreak.  Bottom line:  Severe supercell thunderstorms spawning dangerous, wide, violent, long-tracked tornadoes are likely.  Look at the probability breakdown:

I don't recall even seeing a 60% chance for this last April.  I fully expect to see a PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) Tornado Watch being issued later today or tomorrow for the high risk area.  Stay tuned.  Full weather update for South-Central Michigan coming on the blog later.