Monday, May 11, 2015

They Call It Stormy Monday...

Good Morning!

More warm and steamy weather will bring showers and storms and a dose of severe weather into South Central Michigan today.  Let's dive in and have a look.



SLIGHT RISK FOR MOST OF THE LOWER PENINSULA:  The Storm Prediction Center has placed the southeastern two-thirds of the state into the standard "slight" risk category for severe weather.  Here's a look at the map...

Here you see the "slight" risk for Michigan, the line runs from roughly Tawas City to Cassopolis.
A cold front approaching from the west is the culprit.  I expect primarily some hail and damaging straight-line winds as the primary threats, but we can't rule out a tornado or two.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS:  The low pressure center that brought all modes of weather to the Great Plains, including heavy rains, blizzard conditions in the Dakota, and tornadoes in Tornado Alley will be lifting northeast today.  Skies will cloud up and by 3 PM, showers and thunderstorms will be in the Great Lakes, including Michigan.  Here's a look at the NAM computer model FutureCast...


As you can see, showers and storms are definitely in the mix for this afternoon.  Temperatures will fall 15 degrees or so on the back side of the frontal boundary, with cloudy skies, but the rains will be out of here tonight for the most part.

CLEARING AND COOLER:  Tuesday will bring some clearing skies and seasonable conditions to the area, with readings rolling back into the 60's, which is about 10 degrees below average for this time of the year.  Most areas are typically right around 70, and we have been above that in recent days.  I'm expecting a high of about 80 before the storms roll in.

Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Rives Junction...

Today - Increasing clouds, afternoon showers and thunderstorms developing, some could be severe. High 80. Winds SSW 9-18 MPH.

Tonight - Showers and storms start to taper off late as the cold front moves through, lows roll back to the 50's.  Winds SW 7-14 MPH.

Tuesday - More clouds than sunshine and much cooler, high 60.  Winds SW 6-12 MPH.

Tuesday Night - Periods of clouds and stars, chilly, lows near 40.

Wednesday - Partly sunny, continued cooler than average, high 62.

Thursday - Sunny skies to start, increasing clouds as the next weather-maker approaches, some PM showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two developing, high 66.

Friday - Cloudy, periods of showers and a couple of PM thunderstorms, high 68.

Saturday - Mainly cloudy, some peeks of sunshine, warmer, high 76.

Sunday - Partly sunny, warmer still, high 79.

There's a look at your forecast for the next several days, I hope that you have a wonderful day!  Blessings.

Thursday, April 9, 2015

Tornado Watch Canceled

The National Weather Service has canceled the Tornado Watch previously in place for Washtenaw, Lenawee and Livingston countries in the blog area.

TORNADO WATCH ISSUED, WARNINGS CONTINUE


Severe Weather Update #1


Tornado Warnings continue for Washtenaw and Lenawee counties.  From a line drawn between Onsted and Tecumseh in Lenawee County north, you need to be in shelter as this line of severe storms passes!

TORNADO WARNING LENAWEE

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHWESTERN BRANCH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...  
  NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...  
  
* UNTIL 715 PM EDT  
  
* AT 636 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A  
  TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VICKSBURG...AND MOVING  
  EAST AT 50 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
  
  IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO  
           ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS  
           WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS  
           LIKELY.  
  
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
  UNION CITY AROUND 700 PM EDT.  
  
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE LEONIDAS...SHERWOOD AND  
HODUNK.  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.